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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 5 | 35 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 2 | 34 |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 26 | -2 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 5 | 35 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 26 | -2 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
39.31% ( 0.02) | 25.86% ( 0) | 34.82% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0.02) | 49.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( -0.02) | 71.72% ( 0.02) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( 0) | 24.87% ( -0) |
