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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 22 | 2 | 36 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 23 | 6 | 36 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 22 | 2 | 36 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | CF Montreal |
52.25% ( -0.53) | 24.9% ( 0.35) | 22.84% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( -1.23) | 52.22% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( -1.07) | 73.93% ( 1.07) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.7) | 19.97% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.86% ( -1.13) | 52.13% ( 1.12) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.24% ( -0.52) | 37.76% ( 0.52) |
