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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 20 | 1 | 32 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 3 | 26 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 20 | -2 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 20 | -4 | 29 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 20 | 2 | 27 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 3 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
56.95% ( -0.02) | 22.55% ( 0.01) | 20.49% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( -0.02) | 45.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% ( -0.02) | 67.49% ( 0.02) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( -0.01) | 15.62% ( 0.01) |
