MX23RW : Sunday, August 14 19:57:55
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Nov 4, 2021 at 1am UK at Austin FC Stadium
Austin
3 - 1
Kansas
Driussi (1'), Cascante (22'), Stroud (60')
Gallagher (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Russell (65')
Isimat-Mirin (21')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
43.57%23.48%32.94%
Both teams to score 62.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78%39.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45%61.55%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51%49.49%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48%23.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44%57.56%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 43.57%
    Sporting Kansas City 32.94%
    Draw 23.48%
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 8.98%
1-0 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 43.57%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-1 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.94%

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Major League Soccer Table

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia25139345192648
2CF MontrealMontreal2513484341243
3New York City FCNY City24126645271842
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2510783831737
5Columbus Crew2481063227534
6New England RevolutionNew England248973634233
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati258984245-333
8Orlando City2596102836-833
9Inter MiamiInter Miami2596103241-933
10Chicago Fire2586112834-630
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta247893336-329
12Toronto2585123743-629
13Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2592143039-929
14DC United2464142848-2022

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia25139345192648
2CF MontrealMontreal2513484341243
3New York City FCNY City24126645271842
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2510783831737
5Columbus Crew2481063227534
6New England RevolutionNew England248973634233
7FC CincinnatiCincinnati258984245-333
8Orlando City2596102836-833
9Inter MiamiInter Miami2596103241-933
10Chicago Fire2586112834-630
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta247893336-329
12Toronto2585123743-629
13Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2592143039-929
14DC United2464142848-2022
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