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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Austin FC |
| 58.42% | 22.63% | 18.95% |
| Both teams to score 51.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
