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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 44.54% | 22.61% | 32.84% |
| Both teams to score 65.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
