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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austin FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 52.01% | 22.82% | 25.17% |
| Both teams to score 59.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
