Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
