Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.
