Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niort win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niort win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
