Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.
