Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.