Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
