Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
