Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
