MX23RW : Friday, December 30 20:00:45
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Friday, December 30
Jan 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Lamex Stadium
Stevenage
2 - 1
Crawley
Taylor (29'), Norris (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')

We said: Stevenage 1-2 Crawley Town

Tisdale may have been pleased with the way his side performed last weekend, and their quality in the final third has undoubtedly improved, but Crawley have been stronger defensively, with a lot more structure and balance all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
33.14%26.23%40.62%
Both teams to score 52.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41%51.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62%73.37%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63%29.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64%65.35%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97%25.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3%59.69%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 33.14%
    Crawley Town 40.62%
    Draw 26.22%
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 5.52%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.14%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.62%

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