Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.
