The contest will likely be close, but after winning the last two home meetings between the two sides, we think that Walsall will have the upper hand and that they will claim a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.