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Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at St James Park
Exeter
2 - 1
Barrow
Phillips (35'), Jay (78')
Sweeney (31'), Brown (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dawson (11' og.)
Brown (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-3 Northampton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Barrow

Barrow can afford to play without fear in their final few games of the season and have certainly turned up the heat in recent weeks, but performances away from home is still a sticky point for the visitors. Meanwhile, Exeter continue to dominate on their own turf and will be determined to complete the job before meeting Northampton, and we expect the promotion party to begin on Tuesday night as Exeter claim the three points necessary to join Forest Green in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBarrow
60.28%23.21%16.51%
Both teams to score 44.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47%53.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96%75.04%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57%17.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13%47.87%
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.44%45.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.62%81.37%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 60.26%
    Barrow 16.51%
    Draw 23.21%
Exeter CityDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 13.86%
2-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 5.55%
4-0 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 60.26%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 6.24%
1-2 @ 4.29%
0-2 @ 2.45%
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 16.51%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Exeter
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Colchester
Friday, April 15 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Barrow
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 4-0 Forest Green
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Barrow
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in League Two
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