Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.
