Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
