We said: Wigan Athletic 1-0 Accrington Stanley
While Wigan could be a touch rusty after such an unwanted layoff, they certainly retain the edge in quality over Accrington, who are never the most secure defensively and have problems of their own.
Though they managed to secure a point last time out despite depleted resources and illness sweeping through the camp, the visitors will surely not be able to replicate that showing and will come up short.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
