Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 50%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
