Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
