Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
