Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 25.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 1-0 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
