MX23RW : Saturday, April 29 19:40:41
SM
Saturday, April 29
LC
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
M
Lincoln
2 - 1
Morecambe
Whittaker (10'), Bramall (19')
Walsh (42'), Maguire (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Diagouraga (56')
Bedeau (90+2')

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Morecambe

This could be a nervy clash on Tuesday due to the importance of this relegation battle, but with both sides relatively prolific in front of goal and leaky at the other end of the pitch, we are still expecting a few goals. If Lincoln can perform anywhere near their best then they should have enough in them to see off Morecambe, despite their league position this campaign, but the visitors are likely to be downbeat following their dramatic draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
54.7%24.12%21.18%
Both teams to score 50.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16%50.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28%72.72%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52%18.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32%49.68%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39%38.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65%75.35%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 54.7%
    Morecambe 21.18%
    Draw 24.11%
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.7%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.18%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds452712680374393
4Barnsley452681180453586
5Bolton WanderersBolton4522121159342578
6Derby CountyDerby4521131167452276
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452351773541974
8Portsmouth4517181059481169
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe45208175749868
10Charlton AthleticCharlton451613166864461
11Lincoln CityLincoln451320124647-159
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood451415165149257
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44168205059-956
14Exeter CityExeter451411206166-553
15Bristol Rovers441411195568-1353
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham451411204359-1653
17Burton Albion441410205679-2352
18Port Vale451310224768-2149
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451114204854-647
20MK Dons451111234466-2244
21Morecambe451014214575-3044
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge44127253967-2843
23Accrington StanleyAccrington451011243876-3841
RForest Green RoversForest Green4569303187-5627
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