MK Dons 2-1 Lincoln City - League One - February 5, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK at Stadium MK

MK Dons

2 - 1

Lincoln

Darling (39'), O'Hora (47')
Coventry (69'), Harvie (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marquis (8')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Lincoln City

MK Dons are the side in the ascendancy heading into the clash and will be confident that their home support can take them to yet another victory. Expect the hosts to achieve a simple win against a Lincoln side in danger of being dragged further and further into a relegation scrap. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Lincoln City
45.57%	25.55%	28.88%

Both teams to score 53.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.64%

50.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.7%

72.3%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92%

22.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57%

55.43%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3%

31.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88%

68.12%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 45.57%

Lincoln City 28.88%

Draw 25.54%

MK Dons	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.57%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.88%

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League One Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	32	21	8	3	59	22	37	71
2	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	33	20	8	5	59	37	22	68
3	Ipswich Town Ipswich	33	17	12	4	61	31	30	63
4	Bolton Wanderers Bolton	34	18	8	8	50	25	25	62
5	Barnsley	31	18	5	8	49	28	21	59
6	Derby County Derby	32	16	9	7	51	29	22	57
7	Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe	32	16	5	11	44	31	13	53
8	Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury	33	15	6	12	41	34	7	51
9	Peterborough United Peterborough	31	16	2	13	53	40	13	50
10	Portsmouth	31	11	12	8	41	36	5	45
11	Fleetwood Town Fleetwood	33	10	12	11	36	34	2	42
12	Exeter City Exeter	33	11	9	13	44	43	1	42
13	Bristol Rovers	33	11	8	14	47	55	-8	41
14	Charlton Athletic Charlton	32	10	10	12	45	44	1	40
15	Lincoln City Lincoln	31	8	16	7	30	32	-2	40
16	Port Vale	34	11	7	16	34	49	-15	40
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	34	9	9	16	36	44	-8	36
18	Burton Albion	32	9	8	15	40	58	-18	35
19	Cheltenham Town Cheltenham	32	9	6	17	25	44	-19	33
20	Morecambe	33	7	10	16	33	53	-20	31
21	Accrington Stanley Accrington	31	7	10	14	26	47	-21	31
22	MK Dons	33	8	5	20	30	52	-22	29
23	Cambridge United Cambridge	33	8	5	20	26	54	-28	29
24	Forest Green Rovers Forest Green	34	5	8	21	26	64	-38	23