MX23RW : Sunday, February 5 08:52:59
SM
Milan derby: 10 hrs 52 mins
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK at Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion
3 - 2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 2-2 Fleetwood Town

Given both sides' struggles for victories recently, we see a draw as the most likely outcome. They will each see it as a good opportunity to reverse their fortunes and chances could be abundant, given their shared defensive frailties, but we ultimately expect them to cancel one another out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
51.11%24.3%24.59%
Both teams to score 53.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67%70.33%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15%18.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7%50.3%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05%33.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37%70.63%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 51.1%
    Fleetwood Town 24.59%
    Draw 24.3%
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 5.35%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.1%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-2 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, February 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-1 Bolton
Tuesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in League One
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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth28187351292261
2Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27177347182958
3Ipswich TownIpswich28159453282554
4Derby CountyDerby27148540211950
5Bolton WanderersBolton29148737231450
6Barnsley26144835251046
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough261321143321141
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe27125103527841
9Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury28125113531441
10Exeter CityExeter28108104139238
11Portsmouth2691073432237
12Bristol Rovers28107114350-737
13Port Vale27106112836-836
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2998123435-135
15Charlton AthleticCharlton2781094138334
16Lincoln CityLincoln2661372430-631
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood27611102930-129
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2785142334-1129
19Morecambe2769123140-927
20MK Dons2874172540-1525
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2567122441-1725
22Burton Albion2767143454-2025
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2774162346-2325
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2956182455-3121
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