Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
