MX23RW : Tuesday, November 1 19:39:29
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Jan 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Portsmouth

Woodyard (25'), McCormick (90+3')
FT

Harness (19'), Romeo (50')

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Portsmouth

With Wimbledon in good scoring form, it is likely that they will get on the scoresheet despite Portsmouth's good clean sheet record currently. However, Pompey are likely to come away from Plough Lane with three points given their good form and confidence from three away wins on the bounce, and the Dons have leaked goals in certain games recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
31.11%26.03%42.86%
Both teams to score 52.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65%51.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83%73.17%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39%30.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15%66.86%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.95%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 31.11%
    Portsmouth 42.86%
    Draw 26.02%
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.62%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.08%
3-0 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 31.11%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-2 @ 7.51%
1-3 @ 4.26%
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 42.86%

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