MX23RW : Saturday, October 28 20:20:28
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Saturday, October 28
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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
M
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Morecambe

Marsh (83'), Ablade (90+1')
FT

Wildig (58'), Leigh (65')

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Morecambe

An entertaining encounter with plenty of goalmouth action is expected on Saturday between two sides who will fancy their chances of securing all three points. As desperate as Morecambe will be to climb out of the relegation zone and get revenge over Wimbledon, they may have to settle for just a point on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMorecambe
46.24%24.08%29.68%
Both teams to score 58.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46%43.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07%65.93%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81%19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45%50.55%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34%27.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8%63.2%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 46.24%
    Morecambe 29.68%
    Draw 24.08%
AFC WimbledonDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 46.24%
1-1 @ 11.21%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-1 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29.68%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth15105025101535
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd1492326141229
3Bolton WanderersBolton149232718929
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough158432516928
5Barnsley1583431151627
6Stevenage167542217526
7Blackpool156542119223
8Lincoln CityLincoln146441914522
9Derby CountyDerby146352115621
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe146352223-121
11Burton Albion165561619-320
12Leyton Orient155551418-420
13Bristol Rovers145452019119
14Cambridge UnitedCambridge155461315-219
15Charlton AthleticCharlton145362219318
16Port Vale155371223-1118
17Exeter CityExeter155281219-717
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury15528718-1117
19Wigan AthleticWigan147162117414
20Northampton TownNorthampton144281517-214
21Carlisle UnitedCarlisle163581319-614
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood143381222-1012
23Cheltenham TownCheltenham152211624-188
24Reading1431101224-126
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