Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
