Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
