Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
