Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
