Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
