Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
