Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
50.33% ( 0.51) | 23.16% ( -0.19) | 26.51% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 59.32% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5% ( 0.61) | 41.49% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% ( 0.62) | 63.89% ( -0.62) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.37% ( 0.41) | 16.63% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.54% ( 0.74) | 46.46% ( -0.74) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.15% ( 0.08) | 28.85% ( -0.08) |