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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
ML
Villarreal
1 - 1
Mallorca
Sorloth (45+1')
Sorloth (45'), Femenia (81')
Reina (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Llabres (90+1')
Larin (27'), Darder (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tenerife 0-1 Mallorca
Tuesday, January 16 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Mallorca

Villarreal have only won three times at home in La Liga this season, but they will be welcoming a Mallorca outfit that have just one away league success to their name in 2023-24. Mallorca are proving difficult to beat at the moment, and Villarreal are not in good form, so we can see a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawMallorca
50.33% (0.51000000000001 0.51) 23.16% (-0.189 -0.19) 26.51% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 59.32% (0.363 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5% (0.61199999999999 0.61)41.49% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11% (0.617 0.62)63.89% (-0.62 -0.62)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (0.414 0.41)16.63% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (0.74 0.74)46.46% (-0.743 -0.74)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (0.079999999999998 0.08)28.85% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (0.101 0.1)64.72% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 50.33%
    Mallorca 26.51%
    Draw 23.16%
VillarrealDrawMallorca
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.33%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 26.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Las Palmas 3-0 Villarreal
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Unionistas 1-1 Villarreal
Monday, January 8 at 3.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 3-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, January 2 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rennes 2-3 Villarreal
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Tenerife 0-1 Mallorca
Tuesday, January 16 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Burgos 0-3 Mallorca
Sunday, January 7 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Mallorca
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 3-2 Osasuna
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Mallorca
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in La Liga

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