Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
33.69% ( 2.06) | 26.35% ( 0.78) | 39.95% ( -2.84) |
Both teams to score 52.7% ( -1.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% ( -2.72) | 51.97% ( 2.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% ( -2.4) | 73.71% ( 2.4) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.79% ( -0) | 29.21% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.84% ( -0.01) | 65.15% ( 0) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.44% ( -2.65) | 25.56% ( 2.65) |