Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
