This is a very difficult match to call, with both teams having their problems this season. Granada were heavily beaten by Real Madrid in their last home league game on November 21, but we are tipping Moreno's side to shade a close contest on Friday to pick up a valuable three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Granada in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Granada.
