Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
