Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.55%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.06%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.41%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
