Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 34.85%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.92%) and 1-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (13.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
