Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
