SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olympiacos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
48.12% ( -0.52) | 26.2% ( -0.14) | 25.68% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 48.9% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.14% ( 0.96) | 54.85% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% ( 0.79) | 76.15% ( -0.79) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( 0.17) | 22.82% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.46% ( 0.25) | 56.53% ( -0.26) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% ( 1.09) | 36.65% ( -1.1) |
