Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
