SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Leeds United |
16.86% ( 0.08) | 20.39% | 62.74% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.8% ( 0.16) | 41.2% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.4% ( 0.16) | 63.6% ( -0.16) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( 0.2) | 37.73% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.49% ( 0.19) | 74.51% ( -0.19) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( 0.03) | 12.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.41% ( 0.05) | 38.59% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.86% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.4% | 0-2 @ 10.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 7.06% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.52% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 62.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 77 | 34 | 43 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 59 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 50 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
| 9 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Brentford | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
| 13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 34 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 33 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 28 |
| 18 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
| 19 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 27 |
| 20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
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