We said: Boreham Wood 1-0 Accrington Stanley
With Accrington heading into this cup match in poor form in League One, we expect to see a tight affair at Meadow Park.
With their confidence surely boosted by last season's cup run - as well as their victory against Bristol Rovers in the previous round - it would be no surprise to see another upset ensue in favour of the hosts.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
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